The impact of official development assistance and foreign direct investment upon the consolidation of green economies in Small Island Developing States (SIDS)
小島嶼開発途上国（SIDS）におけるグリーン経済の確立に対する政府開発援助と外国直接投資の影響 (AI 翻訳)
Gonzalo Hernández Soto, Manuel A. Zambrano‐Monserrate
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は37の小島嶼開発途上国（SIDS）の1995〜2019年のデータを用いて、ODAとFDIが再生可能エネルギー消費に与える影響を分析。結果、両者は経済生産性を高めるが再エネ普及には寄与せず、GDP成長志向の資本流入がグリーン移行を阻害していることを示唆。汚染逃避仮説やドナーと受入国のミスマッチ、化石燃料ロックインが要因。気候変動対策資金の特定目的化や条件付き投資協定の必要性を提言。
English
This study analyzes the effects of ODA and FDI on renewable energy consumption in 37 SIDS from 1995 to 2019. Findings show that both enhance economic productivity but fail to promote renewable energy, indicating capital flows are oriented toward GDP growth rather than green transition. This aligns with the Pollution Haven Hypothesis and donor-recipient misalignment, compounded by fossil fuel lock-in. The authors recommend earmarked climate finance and conditional investment treaties.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本はODAを通じてSIDS支援を行っており、本研究成果は日本の気候変動対策資金の効果的な配分に示唆を与える。また、途上国支援における再エネ促進の条件付けなど、今後のODA政策の設計に貢献し得る。
In the global GX context
This paper contributes to global climate finance scholarship by highlighting the ineffectiveness of ODA and FDI in promoting renewable energy in SIDS. It underscores the need for earmarked climate finance and conditional investment treaties, relevant for international donors and investors. The findings also inform the design of vulnerability-weighted finance mechanisms under global frameworks like the Paris Agreement.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides empirical evidence on the link between foreign capital flows and renewable energy adoption in SIDS, challenging assumptions about ODA/FDI effectiveness.
🏢実務担当者:For sustainability teams in development finance or multinational corporations, insights on aligning investments with green transition goals.
🏛政策担当者:Highlights the need for conditional climate finance and policy reforms to ensure ODA/FDI contribute to decarbonization in vulnerable states.
📄 Abstract（原文）
Abstract Small Island Developing States (SIDS) represent one of the most climate-vulnerable yet empirically understudied country groups in the global energy transition literature. Despite their disproportionate exposure to climate change and their structural dependence on foreign capital flows, the effects of official development assistance (ODA) and foreign direct investment (FDI) on their renewable energy trajectories remain poorly understood. This study examines these effects using data from 37 SIDS between 1995 and 2019, estimated through feasible generalized least squares and panel-corrected standard errors techniques. Our central finding is paradoxical: both ODA and FDI enhance economic productivity but consistently fail to promote renewable energy consumption, suggesting that foreign capital flows in SIDS are structurally oriented towards Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rather than green transition. This result is consistent with the Pollution Haven Hypothesis for FDI and with donor–recipient misalignment for ODA, and is compounded by fossil fuel lock-in and adaptation–mitigation trade-offs that suppress renewable energy adoption even in the most climate-vulnerable contexts. The apparent improvement in renewable energy productivity observed alongside these flows reflects relative decoupling rather than genuine decarbonization, as GDP growth outpaces renewable energy scaling without any underlying transformation of the energy mix. These findings underscore the need for earmarked climate finance within ODA frameworks, conditional investment treaties linking tax incentives to renewable energy use and vulnerability-weighted international finance mechanisms tailored to the structural realities of SIDS.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1017/s1355770x26100692first seen 2026-08-16 04:50:57
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