Environmental Cost, Fiscal Policy, and Energy Transition in Saudi Arabia: A Macro-Level Time-Series Analysis of Carbon Intensity
サウジアラビアにおける環境コスト、財政政策、エネルギー転換：炭素強度のマクロ時系列分析 (AI 翻訳)
Afsar Bilal, Manal Elhaj, Safia Omer, Nouf Binhadab, Azzah Saad Alzahrani
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
1994～2023年のサウジアラビアを対象に、財政支出、エネルギー使用、再生可能電力、制度の質が炭素強度に与える影響をARDL-ECMで分析。財政拡大とエネルギー使用は炭素強度を高める一方、再生可能電力と制度改善は低下させる。経済成長は相対的デカップリングを示唆。Vision 2030への政策的示唆を提供。
English
Using ARDL-ECM on Saudi Arabia 1994-2023, this study finds that public expenditure and energy use raise carbon intensity, while renewable electricity and institutional quality reduce it. Economic growth shows relative decoupling. Offers policy insights for Vision 2030 and resource-dependent economies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本ではSSBJ開示やGX推進政策が進む中、資源依存型経済の財政・エネルギー政策と炭素強度の関係を示す本分析は、中東依存のエネルギー輸入国としての日本の視点や、GX移行における制度質の重要性を再認識させる点で参考になる。
In the global GX context
This study contributes to global GX scholarship by empirically linking fiscal policy, energy structure, and institutional quality to carbon intensity in a major oil-exporting country, offering lessons for transition finance and policy design in resource-dependent economies.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:Provides time-series evidence on macro drivers of carbon intensity in a petro-state, useful for comparative GX policy research.
🏢実務担当者:Highlights the role of renewable energy and institutional quality in reducing carbon intensity, relevant for corporate strategy in resource-dependent markets.
🏛政策担当者:Offers empirical support for aligning fiscal and energy policies with decarbonization goals, relevant for Vision 2030 and similar strategies.
📄 Abstract（原文）
In the context of global climate issues and the transition towards sustainable development, this study examines the relationship between environmental cost, public expenditure, energy structure, and institutional quality in Saudi Arabia over the period 1994–2023, where environmental cost is proxied by the carbon intensity of GDP. To capture both long-run relationships and short-run dynamics, the study applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-Error Correction Model (ECM) framework. The results confirm the existence of a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. Public expenditure and energy use significantly increase carbon intensity, indicating that fiscal expansion and energy intensity remain important sources of environmental pressure. In contrast, renewable electricity generation and improvements in institutional quality significantly reduce carbon intensity, highlighting the importance of clean energy deployment and effective governance. Economic growth exhibits a small but statistically significant negative effect on carbon intensity, suggesting gradual progress toward relative decoupling between economic activity and environmental cost. The error-correction coefficient indicates rapid adjustment toward the long-run equilibrium following short-run shocks. These findings provide policy-relevant evidence for aligning fiscal policy, energy transition strategies, and institutional reforms with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and broader sustainability objectives in resource-dependent economies.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.3390/su18157591first seen 2026-08-16 04:49:15
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