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Standardized framework for techno-economic assessment of heavy-duty vehicles: Insights from a state-of-the-art review

大型車両の技術経済評価のための標準化フレームワーク:最新レビューからの洞察 (AI 翻訳)

Trentalessandro Costantino, Xavier Guichet, Ezio Spessa

Applied Energy📚 査読済 / ジャーナル2026-04-17#エネルギー転換Origin: EU
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127883
原典: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2026.127883

🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本レビューは、大型商用車のゼロエミッション技術(BEV、FCEV、水素ICE)のTCO評価における前提条件のばらつきとデータギャップを特定。購入コストやエネルギーキャリアコスト(特に水素)の影響を分析し、技術と経済性の公平な比較を可能にする標準化TCOフレームワークを提案。

English

This review identifies discrepancies in assumptions and data gaps in TCO studies for zero-emission heavy-duty vehicles (BEVs, FCEVs, H2-ICEs). It analyzes the variability of purchase and energy carrier costs—especially hydrogen—and proposes a standardized TCO framework for fair comparison, critical for accelerating fleet decarbonization.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

本論文は、日本で課題となっている大型商用車のゼロエミッション化に関し、物流事業者や政策担当者が投資判断を行う際のTCO評価手法を標準化する枠組みを提供する。日本の商用車メーカーや運輸業界の脱炭素戦略策定に示唆を与える。

In the global GX context

This paper contributes a standardized TCO methodology for comparing zero-emission heavy-duty vehicle technologies, addressing a critical gap in global climate policy. It provides a tool for policymakers and fleet operators to make informed decisions, supporting the transition to zero-emission transport in line with ISSB and TCFD expectations.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Researchers gain a comprehensive overview of TCO assumption variability and a rigorous framework for future HDV techno-economic studies.

🏢実務担当者:Fleet operators can use the standardized TCO framework to compare total costs of competing zero-emission technologies under consistent assumptions.

🏛政策担当者:Policymakers can leverage the proposed framework to design effective incentives and regulations that reflect true cost competitiveness of zero-emission HDVs.

📄 抄録(日本語訳)

重型车辆(HDV)领域对技术经济评估的需求日益增长,这反映在近期出版物数量的不断增加上。受全球尾气排放目标日趋严格的推动,许多研究聚焦于能够实现零尾气排放的技术,如纯电动汽车、燃料电池电动汽车和氢内燃机汽车,并常将其与传统的柴油内燃机汽车进行比较。然而,由于假设条件各异,可能大幅改变研究结果,跨研究比较仍具挑战性。这凸显了制定标准化方法的必要性,以确保对这些技术进行公平且一致的比较,并整合技术和经济因素。本综述识别了假设中的关键差异和显著的数据空白,尤其是在残值和运营成本方面。我们还考察了总拥有成本(TCO)中影响最大的成本组成部分及其在研究间的广泛变异性。具体而言,购置成本占TCO的显著比例,且各研究间差异较大。此外,能源载体成本,尤其是氢燃料汽车,是一项主要运营支出,通常受能源消耗和能源载体价格假设的影响。在本研究中,我们还提出了标准化TCO框架的理论依据,该框架可适用于不同HDV技术,实现兼顾技术性能和经济可行性的公平比较。我们的研究结果旨在为车队运营商、研究人员和政策制定者提供所需见解,以支持其做出明智决策,即使该方法侧重于车队运营商的视角。这对于加速向零排放HDV转型,并以公平和可持续的方式实现全球气候目标至关重要。• 识别了TCO研究中假设的差异和关键数据空白。• 强调了HDV中购置成本和能源载体成本的变异性及其对TCO的影响。• 提出了标准化TCO框架,用于公平比较HDV替代技术。

AI 翻訳(deepseek-v4-flash)。 正確を期す場合は下の原文を参照してください。

📄 Abstract(原文)

The growing demand for techno-economic evaluations in the heavy-duty vehicle (HDV) sector is reflected in the increasing number of recent publications. Driven by tightening global tailpipe emission targets, many studies focus on technologies that can achieve zero-tailpipe emissions, such as Battery Electric Vehicles, Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles, and Hydrogen Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles, often comparing them with conventional Diesel Internal Combustion Engine Vehicles. However, comparing results across studies remains challenging due to varying assumptions that can drastically alter outcomes. This underscores the need for a standardized methodology to ensure fair and consistent comparisons of these technologies, integrating both technological and economic factors. This review identifies key discrepancies in assumptions and significant data gaps, particularly in residual values and operational costs. We also examine the most influential cost components within Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) and their wide variability across studies. Specifically, purchase cost represents a significant portion of TCO, with large variations across the studies. Additionally, energy carrier cost, particularly for hydrogen-fueled vehicles, is a major operational expense, often influenced by assumptions regarding both energy consumption and energy carrier prices. In this study we also propose the rationale for a standardized TCO framework that can be applied across different HDV technologies, enabling fair comparisons that account for both technical performance and economic viability. Our findings aim to empower fleet operators, researchers, and policymakers with the insights needed to make informed decisions, even if the approach is focused on the fleet operator point of view. This is essential for accelerating the transition to zero-emission HDVs and achieving global climate goals in a fair and sustainable way. • Identifies discrepancies in assumptions and key data gaps in TCO studies. • Highlights the variability of purchase costs and energy carrier costs in HDVs and their impact on TCO. • Proposes a standardized TCO framework for fair comparison of HDV alternative technologies.

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