南アジアにおけるグローバル化、再生可能エネルギー、炭素排出 1996–2020年：経済複雑性の役割
Globalization, Renewable Energy, and Carbon Emissions in South Asia, 1996–2020: The Role of Economic Complexity (原題)
Musarat Abbas, Ling Yang
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
南アジア4カ国（バングラデシュ、インド、パキスタン、スリランカ）の1996〜2020年データを用い、経済複雑性・グローバル化・再生可能エネルギーが炭素排出に与える短期・長期効果をCS-ARDLで推計。経済複雑性と再生可能エネルギーは排出を削減する一方、グローバル化は排出を増加させ、経済複雑性はグローバル化の悪影響を強めることを示した。汚染避難所仮説を支持する新たな証拠を提示し、再生可能エネルギーと先端技術を複雑な生産構造に統合する政策枠組みの必要性を結論づける。
English
Using CS-ARDL on 1996–2020 data for Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, this study estimates short- and long-run effects of economic complexity, globalization, and renewable energy on carbon emissions. Economic complexity and renewables reduce emissions, while globalization raises them; economic complexity amplifies globalization's adverse effect rather than mitigating it. It offers new evidence on the pollution haven hypothesis and calls for policy integrating renewables and advanced technology into complex production structures.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本企業のサプライチェーンが南アジアに広がる中、現地の排出構造とグローバル化の影響を理解する材料となる。SSBJ/Scope3対応や移行計画の地域リスク評価に間接的に寄与しうる。
In the global GX context
Adds empirical nuance to the pollution haven debate in a climate-vulnerable region, relevant to global transition finance and supply-chain decarbonization discussions under ISSB/CSRD. It shows that economic complexity alone does not guarantee lower emissions when globalization effects dominate.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:経済複雑性がグローバル化と排出の関係を条件付けるという実証的知見を提供する。
🏢実務担当者:南アジア拠点のサプライチェーン排出リスク評価や調達先の移行計画策定に示唆を与える。
🏛政策担当者:再生可能エネルギー導入と産業高度化を両立させる政策設計の必要性を示す。
📄 Abstract（原文）
ABSTRACT South Asia is highly vulnerable to climate change, yet the determinants of carbon emissions remain underexplored. This study estimates the short‐ and long‐run effects of economic complexity, globalization, and renewable energy consumption on carbon emissions across Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka from 1996 to 2020 and the moderating role of economic complexity in this relationship. By employing the cross‐sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS‐ARDL) estimation technique, this study addresses cross‐sectional dependence, structural breaks, and cointegration among the variables. The findings of this study highlight that economic complexity and renewable energy consumption reduce carbon emissions, whereas globalization increases them. Notably, economic complexity significantly strengthens the adverse effects of globalization on carbon emissions rather than mitigating them, whereas its interaction with renewable energy consumption remains insignificant in enhancing the emission‐reduction effects of renewable energy. The robust results also highlight that the interaction between economic complexity and primary energy consumption positively affects carbon emissions. This study contributes to the literature by evaluating the conditioning role of economic complexity in the carbon emissions effects of globalization and renewable energy and providing evidence that supports new insights into the pollution haven hypothesis. This study concludes that a well‐designed policy framework is required to integrate renewable energy and advanced technologies into the increasing complex production structure while ensuring that globalization‐led growth does not intensify carbon emissions.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.70092first seen 2026-09-24 04:47:05
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