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THE IMPACT OF RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN: A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS FOR 2021–2025

ウズベキスタンにおける再生可能エネルギー開発が経済成長に与える影響：2021～2025年の統計分析 (AI 翻訳)

Tukumbetov, Shavkat, Tukumbetov, Ogabek

Zenodoプレプリント2026-08-15#再生可能エネルギー対象セクター: power
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21946654
原典: https://zenodo.org/records/21946654
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🤖 gxceed AI 要約

日本語

本稿は2021～2025年のウズベキスタンの統計を用い、再生可能エネルギー開発の経済成長への貢献を評価する。再エネ容量は4.88倍に増加し、GDP成長率は年平均7.0%を記録。太陽光・風力が新規容量の95%以上を占め、送電網・蓄電・市場改革の必要性を提言する。

English

This paper assesses the contribution of renewable energy development to economic growth in Uzbekistan using 2021-2025 statistics. Renewable capacity grew 4.88 times, with solar and wind accounting for over 95% of new capacity, while GDP grew at 7.0% annually. It proposes grid, storage, and market reforms to strengthen growth effects.

Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.

📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters

日本のGX文脈において

日本にとっては、中央アジアの再エネ市場の成長と政策動向を示す点で参考になる。日本の再エネ技術や蓄電システムの輸出機会を検討する際の基礎データとなる。

In the global GX context

This paper provides empirical evidence on renewable energy's role in economic growth in a developing economy, relevant to global discussions on energy transition and sustainable development. It highlights infrastructure and policy needs that are applicable to other emerging markets.

👥 読者別の含意

🔬研究者:Provides empirical data on renewable energy growth and GDP correlation in Uzbekistan, useful for comparative studies.

🏢実務担当者:Offers market insights for companies considering renewable energy investments in Uzbekistan.

🏛政策担当者:Highlights policy recommendations for grid and storage development to maximize growth benefits.

📄 Abstract（原文）

This article assesses the contribution of renewable energy development to economic growth in Uzbekistan using updated statistics for 2021–2025. The analysis relies on existing data from the International Renewable Energy Agency, the National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the Ministry of Energy, the Presidential Press Service, the World Bank, and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. Index analysis, structural decomposition, annual growth rates, compound annual growth rates, and comparative dynamic analysis are applied. The results show that renewable power capacity increased from 2,056 MW in 2021 to 10,027 MW in 2025, or 4.88 times, while its share in total electricity capacity rose from 12.5 percent to 36.1 percent. During the same period, average annual real GDP growth was 7.0 percent, and electricity generation recorded a compound annual growth rate of 4.4 percent. More than 95 percent of new capacity came from solar and wind energy. The article develops proposals for strengthening the growth effects of renewable energy through the development of grid infrastructure, energy storage systems, market reforms, and open statistical data.

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