Mechanisms and Simulations of Corporate Investment Decision-Making in Forestry Carbon Sequestration Under China’s Carbon Market

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🔬研究者:Useful for understanding corporate investment behavior in forestry carbon sequestration within a carbon market framework, employing Bayesian network simulation.

🏢実務担当者:Insights on factors influencing investment in forestry carbon credits, such as tax incentives and risk-sharing mechanisms, can inform corporate low-carbon strategy.

🏛政策担当者:Relevant for designing carbon market mechanisms and disclosure policies to incentivize private investment in forestry carbon sequestration.

炭素市場メカニズムの枠組みの中で、企業が森林炭素クレジットを確保するための投資は、生態建設への社会資本の動員と生態系サービスの価値実現において極めて重要な役割を果たしている。本研究は、情報決定理論とベイジアンネットワーク分析を統合し、中国の炭素市場における森林炭素吸収源への企業投資意思決定をシミュレーションする。このアプローチを通じて、森林炭素吸収源への企業投資の背後にある意思決定メカニズムを探求し、意思決定シミュレーションを実施する。調査結果は、いくつかの重要な洞察を明らかにしている：（1）税制優遇、低炭素製品に対する消費者の選好、社会の環境意識などの外部要因は、森林炭素吸収源投資の評価に有意な影響を及ぼす。内部的には、排出削減達成における技術コストによってもたらされる課題が、森林炭素吸収源投資の評価に大きく影響する。（2）投資価値の判断は、本質的に相乗関係を伴う意思決定問題の性質によって形成される。（3）企業は、排出削減コストの低減、低炭素開発計画の策定、投資機会の拡大、森林炭素吸収源の質の向上における森林炭素吸収源の重要性を認識している。（4）排出削減のためのコスト削減、低炭素開発計画、投資機会の拡大、企業イメージの向上に関する森林炭素吸収源に対する企業の集合的価値判断は、森林炭素吸収源への投資意思決定に有意な影響を及ぼす。（5）企業の投資意思決定は、市場ベースの価格設定とリスク分担メカニズムに対する強い選好を示す。したがって、炭素情報開示制度と炭素市場取引メカニズムを強化し、森林炭素吸収源の価格保護と収入安定化の期待を確立することは、企業がこの分野への投資を行うことを促進できる。これは、企業のグリーンで低炭素な変革に資するだけでなく、市場志向のソリューションを通じて森林炭素吸収源に関連する正の外部性の課題に対処することにもなる。

AI 翻訳（deepseek-v4-flash）。 正確を期す場合は下の原文を参照してください。

Within the framework of the carbon market mechanism, corporate investments to secure forestry carbon credits play a pivotal role in mobilizing social capital for ecological construction and realizing the value of ecosystem services. This study integrates information decision theory and Bayesian network analysis to simulate corporate investment decision-making for forestry carbon sequestration within China’s carbon market. Through this approach, we explore the decision-making mechanisms behind corporate investments in forestry carbon sequestration and conduct decision simulations. The findings reveal several key insights: (1) External factors, including tax incentives, consumer preference for low-carbon products, and societal environmental awareness, exert a significant impact on the valuation of forestry carbon sequestration investments. Internally, the challenge posed by technological costs in achieving emission reductions significantly influences the evaluation of forestry carbon sequestration investments. (2) Investment value judgments are shaped by the nature of the decision-making problem, which inherently involves a synergistic relationship. (3) Corporations recognize the importance of forestry carbon sequestration in reducing the costs of emission reduction, formulating low-carbon development plans, expanding investment opportunities, and enhancing the quality of forestry carbon sequestration. (4) The collective value judgment of corporates regarding forestry carbon sequestration in terms of cost reduction for emission reduction, low-carbon development planning, investment opportunity expansion, and corporate image enhancement significantly influences their investment decisions in forestry carbon sequestration. (5) Corporate investment decisions exhibit a strong preference for market-based pricing and risk-sharing mechanisms. Consequently, enhancing the carbon information disclosure system and the carbon market trading mechanism, as well as establishing price protection and income stabilization expectations for forestry carbon sequestration, can encourage corporates to make investments in this area. This not only aids in the green, low-carbon transformation of businesses but also addresses the challenge of positive externalities associated with forestry carbon sequestration through market-oriented solutions.

• semanticscholar https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/17/2/212/pdf?version=1770796331first seen 2026-05-15 17:23:53 · last seen 2026-08-12 05:16:27