気候変動とグリーン成長
Climate change and Green Growth (原題)
Abel Cyrille MOH MOH
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本論文は、気候変動対策がグリーン成長に与える影響を分析する。超モジュラーゲーム理論により、グリーンファイナンスがエネルギー転換において超モジュラー効果を持つ一方、負の外部性ゲームでは効果が弱まることを示す。また中央アフリカ9カ国のパネルデータ（2000〜2019年）にSTIRPAT・ARDLモデルを適用し、エコイノベーションによる相対的デカップリングとリバウンド効果を確認。政策効果は実施後約5年で顕在化すると結論づける。
English
This thesis examines how climate measures affect green growth. Using supermodular game theory, it finds green finance has a supermodular effect on the energy transition, though this weakens under negative-externality games. Applying STIRPAT/ARDL models to panel data from nine Central African countries (2000-2019), it finds relative decoupling with a rebound effect from eco-innovation, and that policy effects appear about five years after implementation.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本企業・政策にとって直接の事例ではないが、グリーンファイナンスの理論的限界とエコイノベーションのリバウンド効果は、GX推進やカーボンプライシング設計を検討する日本にとって示唆に富む。特に政策効果の5年ラグは移行計画の時間軸設計に参考となる。
In the global GX context
This work contributes to global transition-finance scholarship by formalizing green finance's limits via game theory and quantifying eco-innovation's rebound effect in a developing-region context. It offers evidence relevant to debates on climate finance allocation and the timing of policy impacts, complementing TCFD/ISSB-aligned transition planning.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:グリーンファイナンスの理論的限界とエコイノベーションのリバウンド効果を定量化した実証枠組みが参考になる。
🏢実務担当者:エコイノベーション投資の効果が約5年で顕在化しリバウンド効果を伴う点は、脱炭素投資の回収計画立案に示唆を与える。
🏛政策担当者:途上国への資金拠出とグリーン税制・規制枠組みの同時強化、政策効果の時間ラグを踏まえた設計が推奨される。
📄 Abstract（原文）
The main objective of this thesis is to assess the effect of measures to combat climate change on green growth. Specifically, the aim is to analyse, on the one hand, the effects of the strategic behavior of State parties in the energy transition through the prism of green finance and, on the other hand, to estimate the dynamic effects of Eco-innovation on decoupling. To do this, we adopt different methodologies. First, based on the global emissions game, we use the class of supermodular games to analyse the equilibrium situations arising from the global energy transition game. Our results indicate that green finance has a supermodular effect in the energy transition game. However, the action of green finance weakens when the equilibrium situation is a negative externality game. We recommend strong financial contributions from the international community to developing countries. At the same time, they must agree to a major allocation of their public finances to climate protection, green tax policies and a strong regulatory framework. Secondly, we estimate the dynamic effects of eco-innovation on decoupling in a sample of Central African countries. We use the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) model. Using Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) modelling on panel data from 09 countries from 2000 to 2019, we arrive at the result that there is relative decoupling of impacts in the sub-region. This result is qualified by the presence of a rebound effect of eco-innovation, which confirms their mitigated effect on the decoupling dynamic. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that the adjustments inherent in economic and environmental policies will have visible effects around 5 years after their implementation. In this regard, we recommend a systemic approach to eco-innovation in public policies, green structural transformation, the promotion of the circular economy in value chains and economic emergence through the lens of the green economy.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- openalex https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.33790732.v1first seen 2026-10-03 04:47:32
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