Sustainable Development and Carbon Dioxide Emissions in the GCC Region: Evidence from a Panel ARDL-PMG Analysis
GCC地域における持続可能な開発と二酸化炭素排出：パネルARDL-PMG分析からの証拠 (AI 翻訳)
Abrar Saeed Bagalb, Nizar Harrathi, Md Fouad Bin Amin
🤖 gxceed AI 要約
日本語
本研究は、GCC諸国における持続可能な開発とCO2排出の関係をパネルARDL-PMG手法で分析。持続可能な開発は短期的に排出を増やすが長期的に削減効果があること、経済成長と排出がU字型関係にあること、エネルギー消費と都市化が排出を増やすことなどを示した。政策として炭素価格付けや化石燃料補助金廃止などを提言。
English
This study examines the relationship between sustainable development and CO2 emissions in GCC countries using panel ARDL-PMG. It finds that sustainable development reduces emissions in the long run but increases them in the short run, a U-shaped relationship between economic growth and emissions, and that energy use and urbanization drive emissions. Policy recommendations include carbon pricing and phasing out fossil fuel subsidies.
Unofficial AI-generated summary based on the public title and abstract. Not an official translation.
📝 gxceed 編集解説 — Why this matters
日本のGX文脈において
日本はGCCほど化石燃料依存ではないが、炭素価格導入や補助金改革など本論文の政策提言は、日本のGX実践における中期戦略に示唆を与える。特にSSBJ対応における排出削減計画策定の参考になる。
In the global GX context
This paper provides robust empirical evidence from a fossil-fuel-dependent region, offering valuable lessons for global transition finance and carbon pricing design. Its U-shaped EKC finding challenges conventional assumptions and is relevant for ISSB and TCFD scenario analysis.
👥 読者別の含意
🔬研究者:The U-shaped EKC result and the long-run effectiveness of sustainable development indices contribute to empirical climate policy literature.
🏢実務担当者:Companies operating in or sourcing from the GCC can use the findings to anticipate regulatory shifts toward carbon pricing and subsidy removal.
🏛政策担当者:The paper underscores the need for integrated policy packages (carbon pricing, subsidy removal, urban planning) to achieve long-term emission reductions.
📄 Abstract（原文）
This study examines the long- and short-run effects of sustainable development, economic growth, energy consumption, urbanization, investment and trade openness on Carbon Dioxide Emissions (CO2) in the GCC countries utilizing the PMG-ARDL approach by including the data spanning from 2000 to 2022. In the short -run, the sustainable development index demonstrates a positive and substantial impact while it exhibits adverse long-run impact on CO2 emission. The study also indicates a U-shaped correlation between economic growth and emissions, contrasting with the conventional Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) where economic growth at lower income levels often leads to a reduction in emissions; however, income increases beyond around USD 29,942 per capita correlate with higher emissions. Besides, energy use is identified as the primary factor influencing emissions, reflecting global patterns that indicate greater energy usage, particularly from fossil fuels directly boosts emissions. Moreover, the urbanization intensifies this problem, resulting in higher energy demand and greater emissions. Additionally, the study finds that gross capital formation and investments in infrastructure contribute to emissions in the short run, though these effects diminish over time. Our results are robust as it similar to the outcomes obtained from dynamic panel-data System GMM. The GCC policymakers must utilize the sustainable development framework to legally mandate national planning towards low-carbon paths while balancing for short-term transition costs with significant long-run emission reductions. This necessitates the implementation of market-oriented carbon pricing to address the post-threshold U-shaped emissions rebound, the systematic elimination of fossil fuel subsidies to promote renewable energy adoption, and the enforcement of sustainable development regulations to mitigate urbanization pressures.
🔗 Provenance — このレコードを発見したソース
- crossref https://doi.org/10.3390/su18126356first seen 2026-06-25 04:53:35
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